How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?
Polymarket traders put "4.83%" at 72.0% on "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?". $80 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
4.83%
–72%
EconomyVol $80Total volume $80Liquidity $353in 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.83%
72.0%
–
4.87%
67.5%
–
4.91%
59.0%
–
4.95%
49.0%
–
4.99%
45.5%
–
5.03%
39.0%
–
5.07%
33.0%
–
5.12%
26.5%
–
5.17%
20.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
