How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Polymarket traders put "4.58%" at 77.5% on "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?". Up 13.5%p from yesterday. $3.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
4.58%
▲13.578%
EconomyVol $3.6KTotal volume $3.6KLiquidity $5.7Kin 22 days (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.58%
77.5%
▲13.5
4.61%
66.5%
▲14.5
4.64%
56.5%
▲6.5
4.67%
50.5%
▲0.5
4.70%
46.5%
▼3.5
4.73%
37.5%
▼12.5
4.78%
27.5%
▼22.5
4.83%
22.5%
▼16.5
4.90%
14.5%
▼23.0
Probability over time
4.58%
4.61%
4.64%
4.67%
4.70%
4.73%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-08 · y-axis %
