How high will inflation get in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Above 3.5%" at 100.0% on "How high will inflation get in 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. $337 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.
Most likely right now
Above 3.5%
–100%
EconomyVol $337Total volume $1.5MLiquidity $54KComments 38in 4 months (Feb 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Above 3.5%
100.0%
–
Above 3%
100.0%
▲1.5
Above 4%
100.0%
▲2.0
Above 4.5%
13.5%
▲1.5
Above 5%
7.50%
–
Above 6%
3.85%
–
Above 8%
3.15%
–
Above 10%
2.45%
–
Probability over time
Above 3.5%
Above 3%
Above 4%
Above 4.5%
Above 5%
Above 6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
