How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?
Polymarket traders put "Below 4.82%" at 49.0% on "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?". $82 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Below 4.82%
–49%
EconomyVol $82Total volume $82Liquidity $449in 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 4.82%
49.0%
–
Below 4.79%
44.0%
–
Below 4.76%
40.5%
–
Below 4.73%
35.0%
–
Below 4.70%
35.0%
–
Below 4.67%
31.5%
–
Below 4.64%
30.5%
–
Below 4.61%
27.5%
–
Below 4.57%
22.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
