How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Below 4.70%" at 69.0% on "How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?". Up 19.0%p from yesterday. $4.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Below 4.70%
▲19.069%
EconomyVol $4.6KTotal volume $4.6KLiquidity $9.9Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 4.70%
69.0%
▲19.0
Below 4.60%
57.0%
▲7.0
Below 4.50%
52.0%
▲2.0
Below 4.40%
45.5%
▼4.5
Below 4.30%
36.5%
▼13.5
Below 4.20%
20.5%
▼29.5
Below 4.10%
13.5%
▼36.5
Below 4.00%
10.0%
▼40.0
Below 3.90%
6.50%
▼43.5
Probability over time
Below 4.70%
Below 4.60%
Below 4.50%
Below 4.40%
Below 4.30%
Below 4.20%
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
