How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Below 5.20%" at 79.5% on "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?". Up 17.5%p from yesterday. $60 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Below 5.20%
▲17.580%
EconomyVol $60Total volume $60Liquidity $4.6Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Sep 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 5.20%
79.5%
▲17.5
Below 5.15%
71.5%
▲12.5
Below 5.10%
62.5%
▲12.5
Below 5.05%
54.5%
▲4.5
Below 5.00%
45.5%
▼4.5
Below 4.95%
40.5%
▼9.5
Below 4.90%
34.5%
▼13.5
Below 4.80%
21.5%
▼27.0
Below 4.60%
15.5%
▼24.0
Probability over time
Below 5.20%
Below 5.15%
Below 5.10%
Below 5.05%
Below 5.00%
Below 4.95%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-08 · y-axis %
