How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Below 5.20%" at 58.0% on "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?". Up 19.5%p from yesterday. $26K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Below 5.20%
▲19.558%
EconomyVol $26KTotal volume $153KLiquidity $11Kin 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 5.20%
58.0%
▲19.5
Below 5.15%
43.5%
▲21.5
Below 5.10%
32.5%
▲13.0
Below 5.05%
26.5%
▲12.5
Below 5.00%
21.0%
▲9.5
Below 4.95%
19.0%
▲7.5
Below 4.90%
14.5%
▲7.0
Below 4.80%
12.6%
▲7.7
Below 4.60%
5.40%
▲2.5
Probability over time
Below 5.20%
Below 5.15%
Below 5.10%
Below 5.05%
Below 5.00%
Below 4.95%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-23 · y-axis %
