How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
Polymarket traders put "Below 5.17%" at 53.0% on "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?". $350 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Below 5.17%
–53%
EconomyVol $350Total volume $350Liquidity $234in 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 5.17%
53.0%
–
Below 5.20%
51.0%
–
Below 5.08%
51.0%
–
Below 5.11%
50.5%
–
Below 5.14%
49.0%
–
Below 5.05%
48.5%
–
Below 4.99%
48.5%
–
Below 5.02%
48.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
