How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
Polymarket traders put "Below 5.24%" at 84.5% on "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?". Up 23.5%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
Below 5.24%
▲23.585%
EconomyVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $5.4Kin 22 days (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 5.24%
84.5%
▲23.5
Below 5.21%
68.5%
▲8.5
Below 5.18%
58.5%
▲8.5
Below 5.15%
50.5%
▲1.0
Below 5.12%
40.5%
▼6.0
Below 5.09%
33.5%
▼11.5
Below 5.05%
23.5%
▼26.5
Below 5.00%
13.5%
▼36.5
Below 4.95%
11.5%
▼27.0
Probability over time
Below 5.24%
Below 5.21%
Below 5.18%
Below 5.15%
Below 5.12%
Below 5.09%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-08 · y-axis %
