How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Polymarket traders put "1" at 45.0% on "How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?". Up 12.3%p from yesterday. $5.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 10.

Most likely right now
1
▲12.345%
EconomyVol $5.9KTotal volume $27KLiquidity $17Kin 2 months (Dec 10)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1
45.0%
▲12.3
0
37.5%
▼2.0
2
11.3%
▲1.1
3
9.50%
–
4+
1.75%
▼7.0

Probability over time

1
0
2
3
4+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.