How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket traders put "1" at 35.5% on "How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?". $16K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
1
–36%
EconomyVol $16KTotal volume $15KLiquidity $89Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
1
35.5%
–
2
31.5%
–
0
14.5%
–
3+
13.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
