How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Polymarket traders put "Above 58" at 7.5% on "How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?". $408 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 2.

Most likely right now
Above 58
–8%
CryptoVol $408Total volume $136KLiquidity $72Kin 3 months (Jan 2)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Above 58
7.50%
–
Above 60
7.50%
–
Above 50
6.50%
▲0.5
Above 55
6.50%
–
Above 62
6.25%
▼0.7
Above 66
5.70%
–
Above 64
5.05%
–
Above 68
3.75%
▼0.9

Probability over time

Above 58
Above 60
Above 50
Above 55
Above 62
Above 66
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.