How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
Polymarket traders put "$40B–$50B" at 34.0% on "How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?". Down 1.1%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
$40B–$50B
▼1.134%
EconomyVol -Total volume $5.9KLiquidity $14Kin 1.3 years (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$40B–$50B
34.0%
▼1.1
<$30B
32.8%
▼1.1
$80B–$90B
24.7%
▼8.4
$100B+
15.5%
▼0.5
$70B–$80B
10.5%
▲4.9
$60B–$70B
8.00%
–
$50B–$60B
6.20%
–
$30B–$40B
4.40%
–
$90B–$100B
4.40%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
