ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

Polymarket traders put "57.0 to 57.9" at 41.0% on "ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026". Up 21.5%p from yesterday. $354 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
57.0 to 57.9
21.541%
EconomyVol $354Total volume $354Liquidity $936in 28 days (Oct 1)
Current probability

Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
57.0 to 57.9
41.0%
21.5
50.0 to 50.9
28.5%
9.0
53.0 to 53.9
26.0%
6.5
51.0 to 51.9
25.0%
5.5
56.0 to 56.9
25.0%
5.5
55.0 to 55.9
24.0%
4.5
58.0+
24.0%
4.5
54.0 to 54.9
19.0%
0.5
52.0 to 52.9
14.0%
5.5
<50.0
7.00%
12.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.