Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2026" at 3.8% on "Jerome Powell federally charged by...?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▲2.54%
EconomyVol -Total volume $319KLiquidity $3.2KComments 34in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
3.80%
▲2.5
June 30, 2026
0.00%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
June 30, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.