Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?" at 2.8%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
–3%
EconomyVol -Total volume $5.8KLiquidity $37KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
2.75%
–

Probability over time

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.