Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 20.0% on "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. $14 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼3.520%
EconomyVol $14Total volume $461KLiquidity $2.0KComments 21in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
20.0%
▼3.5
May 30
0.00%
–

Probability over time

December 31
May 30
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.