Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 18.0% on "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?". $18 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
18%
EconomyVol $18Total volume $436KLiquidity $4.8KComments 21in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
18.0%
May 30
0.00%

Probability over time

December 31
May 30
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.