Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Polymarket traders put "$18B" at 4.5% on "Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?". Unchanged from yesterday. $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
$18B
–5%
CryptoVol $40Total volume $148KLiquidity $2.9KComments 13in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$18B
4.50%
–
$22B
4.45%
▲1.3
$16B
3.80%
–
$24B
3.55%
▼2.1
$28B
3.55%
–
$20B
3.15%
–
Probability over time
$18B
$22B
$16B
$24B
$28B
$20B
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
