Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 55.4% on "Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?". Up 1.8%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 2.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
▲1.855%
EconomyVol $1.1KTotal volume $6.5MLiquidity $610KComments 47in 3 months (Jan 2)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
55.4%
▲1.8
SpaceX
43.0%
▼2.5
xAI
25.5%
–
OpenAI
0.60%
–
ByteDance
0.05%
–
Stripe
0.05%
–
Databricks
0.05%
–
SHEIN
0.05%
–
Waymo
0.05%
–
Revolut
0.05%
–
Discord
0.05%
–
Perplexity AI
0.05%
–
Kraken
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Anthropic
SpaceX
xAI
OpenAI
ByteDance
Stripe
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
