Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 3.8% on "Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?". Down 0.7%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼0.74%
EconomyVol -Total volume $25KLiquidity $30Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
3.75%
▼0.7
November 30
2.15%
–
October 31
0.90%
–
September 30
0.00%
–

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
October 31
September 30
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.