Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Major CEX insolvent in 2026?" at 3.2%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
–3%
CryptoVol -Total volume $136KLiquidity $17KComments 4in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
3.20%
–
Probability over time
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
