Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Polymarket traders put "Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%" at 94.0% on "Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
–94%
OtherVol -Total volume $160KLiquidity $7.3Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
94.0%
–
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%
4.30%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
