Iran full airspace closure by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 26.5% on "Iran full airspace closure by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $10K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▼0.527%
OtherVol $10KTotal volume $8.6MLiquidity $96KComments 1,144in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
26.5%
▼0.5
September 30
9.50%
▼1.0
August 31
2.90%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
