Iran full airspace closure by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 26.0% on "Iran full airspace closure by...?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $41K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲2.526%
PoliticsVol $41KTotal volume $10.2MLiquidity $55KComments 1,021in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
26.0%
▲2.5
October 31
9.50%
▲2.0
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
