Where will a 6.0+ earthquake occur by end of August?

Most likely right now
Indonesia
100%
OtherVol $8.5KTotal volume $21KLiquidity $3.6Kin 10 days (Sep 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Indonesia
99.7%
Peru
99.6%
Japan
77.8%
29.8
United States
19.5%
Mexico
13.5%
3.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.