Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?
Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 67.5% on "Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?". $378 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 30
–68%
EconomyVol $378Total volume $378Liquidity $405in 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 30
67.5%
–
October 31
45.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
