Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?" at 20.0%. $61 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?
–20%
EconomyVol $61Total volume $61Liquidity $65in 1.5 years (Apr 1)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?
20.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.