Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Negative GDP growth in 2026?" at 3.5%. It resolves on Jan 29.

Most likely right now
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
4%
EconomyVol -Total volume $33KLiquidity $554Comments 5in 5 months (Jan 29)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
3.50%

Probability over time

Negative GDP growth in 2026?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.