Next Claude Opus released on...?
Polymarket traders put "On or prior to September 16" at 25.5% on "Next Claude Opus released on...?". $402 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
On or prior to September 16
–26%
TechVol $402Total volume $402Liquidity $1.9Kin 14 days (Oct 1)
Current probability
Sep 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
On or prior to September 16
25.5%
–
September 28
25.5%
–
September 25
25.0%
–
September 24
23.5%
–
September 17
18.0%
–
September 26
14.0%
–
September 27
14.0%
–
September 29
14.0%
–
September 30
14.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
