Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?

Polymarket traders put "November 19" at 6.3% on "Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?". $17K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 49 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
November 19
–6%
TechVol $17KTotal volume $17KLiquidity $40Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 19
6.30%
–
November 22
3.65%
–
November 20
2.65%
–
November 23
2.65%
–
December 11
2.65%
–
November 24
2.00%
–
November 21
1.65%
–
December 29
1.60%
–
December 22
1.40%
–
December 15
1.35%
–
December 23
1.30%
–
November 16
1.05%
–
November 18
1.05%
–
November 25
1.05%
–
November 26
1.05%
–
November 27
1.05%
–
December 6
1.05%
–
December 7
1.05%
–
December 9
1.05%
–
December 16
1.05%
–
December 17
1.05%
–
December 19
1.05%
–
December 24
1.05%
–
December 25
1.05%
–
December 27
1.05%
–
December 30
1.05%
–
December 31
1.05%
–
December 20
1.00%
–
November 14
0.95%
–
November 15
0.95%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.