Next NVIDIA CEO: internal or external?

Polymarket traders put "External" at 48.5% on "Next NVIDIA CEO: internal or external?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
External
▲1.049%
EconomyVol $1.3KTotal volume $32KLiquidity $11Kin 2.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
External
48.5%
▲1.0
Internal
39.0%
▼6.5
No new permanent CEO
7.45%
▼0.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.