Noble FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Polymarket traders put "$50M" at 12.5% on "Noble FDV above ___ one day after launch?". There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
$50M
–13%
CryptoVol -Total volume $18KLiquidity $105Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
$50M
12.5%
–
$100M
12.5%
▼2.0
$200M
12.5%
–
$300M
12.0%
–
$500M
10.0%
–
$700M
6.50%
–
$1B
3.20%
–

Probability over time

$50M
$100M
$200M
$300M
$500M
$700M
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.