November Unemployment Rate

Polymarket traders put "4.1%" at 36.5% on "November Unemployment Rate". $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 4.

Most likely right now
4.1%
–37%
EconomyVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $8.7Kin 23 days (Dec 4)
Current probability

Nov 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
4.1%
36.5%
–
4.2%
33.5%
–
4.0%
22.0%
–
4.3%
9.50%
–
3.9%
4.00%
–
4.5%
3.60%
–
4.4%
3.30%
–
≥4.6%
2.95%
–
≤3.8%
1.10%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.