OpenAI resumes training on...?
Polymarket traders put "Not resumed by October 20" at 13.0% on "OpenAI resumes training on...?". $3.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 24 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 21.
Most likely right now
Not resumed by October 20
–13%
TechVol $3.7KTotal volume $3.7KLiquidity $6.7Kin 23 days (Oct 21)
Current probability
Sep 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Not resumed by October 20
13.0%
–
October 3
11.0%
–
October 17
11.0%
–
October 9
10.0%
–
October 1
9.50%
–
October 2
9.00%
–
October 10
9.00%
–
October 8
8.50%
–
October 19
8.00%
–
October 11
7.00%
–
October 16
6.15%
–
October 20
6.00%
–
October 14
5.70%
–
October 5
4.50%
–
October 15
4.10%
–
October 12
4.00%
–
October 7
3.30%
–
October 6
3.15%
–
October 18
3.15%
–
October 13
2.70%
–
On or before September 28
2.50%
–
October 4
1.85%
–
September 29
0.55%
–
September 30
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
