People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "No Change" at 84.5% on "People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?". $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
No Change
–85%
EconomyVol $2.8KTotal volume $2.8KLiquidity $3.1Kin 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No Change
84.5%
–
Decrease
10.0%
–
Increase
1.65%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.