Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Polymarket traders put "$100M" at 13.6% on "Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Unchanged from yesterday. $51 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
$100M
–14%
CryptoVol $51Total volume $167KLiquidity $114KComments 9in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
$100M
13.6%
–
$50M
13.5%
–
$300M
13.5%
–
$200M
12.4%
–
$400M
10.1%
▼0.5
$500M
7.00%
–
$800M
4.60%
–
$1B
2.15%
–

Probability over time

$100M
$50M
$300M
$200M
$400M
$500M
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.