Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 9.0% on "Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
0.59%
CryptoVol -Total volume $3.2KLiquidity $2.8KComments 3in 1.4 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
9.00%
0.5
December 31, 2026
1.80%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.