Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in March?

Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 42.5% on "Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in March?". $417 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 23.

Most likely right now
25 bps increase
–43%
EconomyVol $417Total volume $481Liquidity $5.0Kin 5 months (Mar 23)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps increase
42.5%
–
No Change
40.5%
–
50+ bps decrease
7.00%
–
50+ bps increase
7.00%
–
25 bps decrease
5.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.