Reserve Bank of India decision in December

Polymarket traders put "No Change" at 43.5% on "Reserve Bank of India decision in December". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 4.

Most likely right now
No Change
–44%
EconomyVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Dec 4)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No Change
43.5%
–
25 bps increase
42.5%
–
50+ bps increase
13.0%
–
25 bps decrease
4.90%
–
50+ bps decrease
2.35%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.