Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?

Polymarket traders put "50+ bps decrease" at 44.5% on "Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?". $110 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 5.

Most likely right now
50+ bps decrease
–45%
EconomyVol $110Total volume $146Liquidity $1.2Kin 3 months (Feb 5)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50+ bps decrease
44.5%
–
50+ bps increase
28.0%
–
25 bps decrease
25.0%
–
No Change
25.0%
–
25 bps increase
25.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.