Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Most likely right now
Elon Musk
97%
EconomyVol $533Total volume $1.9MLiquidity $230Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Elon Musk
97.0%
Warren Buffett
1.10%
Jeff Bezos
0.45%
Mark Zuckerberg
0.30%
Larry Ellison
0.25%
Bernard Arnault
0.25%
Jensen Huang
0.25%
Steve Ballmer
0.25%
Larry Page
0.25%
Sergey Brin
0.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.