Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Elon Musk" at 96.8% on "Richest person on December 31, 2026?". $98 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 3.
Most likely right now
Elon Musk
–97%
EconomyVol $98Total volume $1.9MLiquidity $207Kin 3 months (Jan 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Elon Musk
96.8%
–
Warren Buffett
1.15%
–
Jeff Bezos
0.35%
–
Mark Zuckerberg
0.30%
–
Larry Ellison
0.25%
–
Bernard Arnault
0.25%
–
Jensen Huang
0.25%
–
Steve Ballmer
0.25%
–
Sergey Brin
0.25%
–
Larry Page
0.15%
–
Michael Dell
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Elon Musk
Warren Buffett
Jeff Bezos
Mark Zuckerberg
Larry Ellison
Bernard Arnault
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
