SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

Polymarket traders put "SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?" at 56.5%. It resolves on Aug 1.

Most likely right now
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?
56%
OtherVol -Total volume $4Liquidity $322in 11 months (Aug 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?
56.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.