Second-best AI Lab end of December?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 28.5% on "Second-best AI Lab end of December?". $237 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 19 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
–28%
TechVol $237Total volume $237Liquidity $2.4Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
28.5%
–
Google
27.5%
–
Meta
16.5%
–
Xiaomi
11.0%
–
Baidu
10.8%
–
Moonshot
10.5%
–
SpaceXAI
10.5%
–
DeepSeek
4.35%
–
Alibaba
4.15%
–
StepFun
4.15%
–
OpenAI
4.10%
–
Z.ai
4.05%
–
Amazon
4.05%
–
ByteDance
4.05%
–
Nvidia
4.05%
–
Thinky
4.05%
–
MiniMax
4.05%
–
Mistral
4.05%
–
Meituan
4.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
