Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Polymarket traders put "MiniMax" at 28.0% on "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?". $653 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
MiniMax
–28%
TechVol $653Total volume $653Liquidity $800in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
MiniMax
28.0%
–
Alibaba
24.5%
–
Baidu
17.5%
–
ByteDance
17.5%
–
Z.ai
16.0%
–
Xiaomi
12.5%
–
Meituan
12.4%
–
DeepSeek
12.0%
–
StepFun
12.0%
–
Moonshot
11.5%
–
Tencent
11.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.