Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Polymarket traders put "Alibaba" at 40.5% on "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. $125 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
Alibaba
▲7.041%
TechVol $125Total volume $51KLiquidity $4.5Kin 21 days (Oct 31)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Alibaba
40.5%
▲7.0
Moonshot
23.0%
▲1.5
Xiaomi
22.8%
▲10.2
MiniMax
10.5%
▼9.9
Z.ai
8.00%
–
ByteDance
5.30%
–
DeepSeek
3.40%
▼0.6
Baidu
3.25%
–
Tencent
1.65%
▼1.3
StepFun
0.65%
–
Meituan
0.35%
–

Probability over time

Alibaba
Moonshot
Xiaomi
MiniMax
Z.ai
ByteDance
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.