Social Security Insolvent by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2028" at 16.0% on "Social Security Insolvent by...? ". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2028
▲2.516%
OtherVol -Total volume $394Liquidity $3.5KComments 1in 2.4 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2028
16.0%
▲2.5
December 31, 2027
11.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
