South African Reserve Bank Decision in January?

Polymarket traders put "25 bps decrease" at 45.0% on "South African Reserve Bank Decision in January?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $50 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 28.

Most likely right now
25 bps decrease
▼1.045%
EconomyVol $50Total volume $50Liquidity $439in 3 months (Jan 28)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps decrease
45.0%
▼1.0
50+ bps decrease
44.5%
▼1.5
50+ bps increase
37.5%
–

Probability over time

25 bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
50+ bps increase
025507510011/211/311/4
2026-11-02 ~ 2026-11-04 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.