What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

Most likely right now
>$8,000
0.537%
EconomyVol $127Total volume $40KLiquidity $35Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
>$8,000
36.5%
0.5
$7,500-$8,000
21.5%
$7,000-$7,500
19.5%
1.0
$6,500-$7,000
13.5%
1.5
<$6,000
9.50%
$6,000-$6,500
8.00%
0.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.