What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Most likely right now
↓ $7,400
74%
EconomyVol $337Total volume $317KLiquidity $99Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↓ $7,400
74.0%
↓ $7,200
64.0%
0.5
↓ $7,000
61.0%
↑ $8,000
46.5%
32.5
↑ $8,200
37.0%
1.0
↓ $6,200
12.8%
2.4
↓ $6,000
12.5%
6.5
↑ $8,600
11.0%
0.5
↓ $5,800
8.50%
1.5
↓ $5,200
6.50%
↑ $9,300
4.75%
↓ $4,500
2.95%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.