S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 24?
Most likely right now
$755
▲10.099%
EconomyVol $6.7KTotal volume $8.2KLiquidity $55KClosed (Aug 24)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$755
99.0%
▲10.0
$745
98.6%
▲7.5
$750
95.1%
▲1.6
$760
93.0%
▼0.5
$740
88.5%
▼4.0
$765
19.5%
▼36.5
$785
5.05%
▼1.9
$780
1.50%
▼6.6
$775
1.45%
▼14.5
$770
1.05%
▼10.9
$790
1.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
