S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 25?

Most likely right now
$740
97%
EconomyVol $90Total volume $90Liquidity $7.5KCloses today (Aug 25)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
$740
96.5%
$745
94.5%
$750
91.5%
$755
88.0%
$760
45.5%
$765
44.0%
$770
10.5%
$790
10.1%
$775
6.50%
$780
6.00%
$785
5.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.