Swiss National Bank Decision in June?

Polymarket traders put "50+ bps decrease" at 44.0% on "Swiss National Bank Decision in June?". $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jun 24.

Most likely right now
50+ bps decrease
–44%
EconomyVol $1.0KTotal volume $1.0KLiquidity $1.2Kin 8 months (Jun 24)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50+ bps decrease
44.0%
–
No Change
42.0%
–
25 bps decrease
41.0%
–
25 bps increase
27.0%
–
50+ bps increase
9.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.